Day 11 in Annas Fast

Its day 11, and the  Indira Sonia congress isolated in its stand, has decided a formal debate on Saturday, but  started debating the Lokpal in the zero hour informally …Go  Anna!

The congress seems amiss under the leadership of Rahul Baba , with mother Sonia missing from action .

For the first time the Hindustan Times  owner Shobhana Bhartia , who is close to the Gandhis` has come out on IBN Tv18 and clearing the congress stand . (Both media houses are pro congress)

Img Maxabout.

Rahul Amul baba after a long long time has broken his silence and proposed at the loudest his voice can permit that lokpal be a body like the Election Commission.

Img: DD / Firstpost

If we take the EC history into account, i find this to be a ploy to dilute the lokpal to a body of people more pliable and maliable to people in power. Especially considering how the ECs are elected.

Secondly other than people like  T N Seshan andT.S.Krishnamurthy  , no other EC has been unbiased and untainted. Even the  J M Lyngdoh had taken controversial decisions.

The EC post was massively abused during the times Indira Gandhi and the CEC/ ECs like most constitutional appointees was  a mere rubber stamp, who got cushy posts post their tenure.

The Current CEC is Dr S.Y. Quraishi,  is a career bureaucrat? who previously held the post of the Secretary, Union Ministry of Youth Affairs and Sports.

The previous CEC  is Naveen Chavla . His wiki states

Navin Chawla is best known in India for his association with the atrocities and excesses of emergency rule in India. JC Shah, the former chief justice of India commented in the inquiry report that Chawla was unfit to hold any public office.

Dr. M S Gill who formerly served as the Chief Election Commissioner of India from 1996 to 2001 is currently a Congress party member and has served as the of Minister of Youth Affairs and Sports

Why does the govt want a watered down Lokpal Bill ?

The answer is simple, an active powerful Lokpal has jurisdiction over top bureaucracy, legislature, the Prime Minister and the Judiciary right up to the Chief Justice. He can hold them all to account and bring accountability….

Many decisions are taken with high secrecy supposedly in the interests of the public and the nation. The RTI ACT has exposed the rot in the system, and inner workings of policy making, but the upper echelons of the system are still unaccountable and generally get away with it

A vigilant and honest Lokpal could literally stop the government from governing(profiteering),  because politicians, once elected, forget that they are public servants become satraps in their own right.

Essentially he can shut down the government from decision making i.e. governing… just like the recent exposure of scandals like CWG and 2G has in the last session of parliament.

Why?

In Indian democracy, policy making involves  Politicians, their strongmen or bahubalis, industry .. mainly business families, big bureaucrats or babus and sometimes some elements of judiciary and owners of favorable Media houses.

The Radia Tapes are an eye opener…

Wonder how assets of Indian politicians family members grow exponentially  every election declaration, even in recessions they manage to at least quadruple their assets. Bureaucrats also get their pound of flesh from company sponsored foreign trips to plum jobs for kids etc.

Corruption a well oiled machine and oil has to be put at every cog to make the machine run.  Lower bureaucracy is sometimes so brazen that every-ones integrity is for sale for a price, and terrorists can procure passports and ration cards and documents and even the IT refund of a prime ministers adviser has been blocked for the 10% .

Higher judiciary is also tainted if facts show that a high court judge is facing impeachment proceedings, and questions are being raised about an ex Supreme Court Chief Justice.

Read Come clean, Mr Balakrishnan

Was ex-CJI Balakrishnan a fixer? Ex-judge says he was approached

No govt action till a case is filed against Balakrishnan: Moily

Over time nature of corruption has changed from license permit raj and big corruption involves decision making over inputs and raw materials.

There is allotment of land sea, and river for SEZs, mining, excavation, oil and gas exploration etc the list is endless.

Then there is abuse of power so that illegal activities like dredging of river beds , running of saw mills in forests contravening courts orders can continue so as to profit a few.

Ultimately one cannot forget subsidy abuse and policy to keep the vote banks happy, like reservation based on caste and religion, distorting prices with MSP based on election prospects, giving people TVs , mixers, grinders etc for free when u own a media empire and cannot manage to give people 24 hours of power or potable water.

Read Gas pricing: Govt bent rules for RIL, says ex-IAS officer

When the PM and HM insisted on appointing a tainted man to the post of CVC, or when the CBI (which is kept out of RTI act) acted in a manner unbecoming of the premier investigation agency so much so that it gets the nick name Congress bureau of Investigation, whose reputation and credibility gets sullied ?

Naturally politicians in power want power without accountability and want this system to continue. We saw how our khadi wearing politicians,  who epitomize Gandhis 2 bandars See no evil. Hear no evil….  dealt with sleeping protesters and a mentally unstable show totter at the press conference .

It wont be difficult for them to cobble up a coalition of the billing over taxpayer subsidized bisleri, tea and biscuits that will want the current system of unaccountability and inclusive profiteering to continue ..  One seriously doubts if a strong lokpal bill even if tabled will ever get popular parliamentary support.. and that includes the opposition.

But the aam admi right or left of center trusts a clear thinking, incorruptible rebel like Anna Hazare, who has successfully taken on the system and toppled two chief ministers of Maharashtra

For Anna Hazare and his band of merry civil society activists, and for the nation as a whole the coming weeks and months will be extremely challenging as they are going to have to take on the might of a hardened Central govt which has an arsenal of laws like the infamous Sec 144 of the CrPC, and a Police force and SRP willing to do its bidding.

Till then read some interesting quotes on Politics

Wish i was an Indian MP!

As IBNs countdown to the trust vote begins things seem to be hotting up. The going rate per MP has climbed to stratospheric levels. Read MPs get dearer, going rate touches Rs 100 crore

“Truly alarming is single-digit inflation”

E.P. Unny in The Indian Express

*********************************************

Thats not all the Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen or Hyerabads very own highly educated radical bunch or Owaisi family party who attacked Taslima N in Hyderabad has cut out a deal worth 5000 Crore with the Congress for support- Not for the N-Deal but to keep the BJP out of power.

Seriously GOD – Please make me an MP pronto, pretty please !

Let me join the coalition of the billing and get to be a part of the most powerful quota lobby which is truly secular – Don’t look so amazed im talking about the MP Quota (which opens doors to all educational institutions and to the much coveted VIP Lobbys at airports, stations etc and make our not so friendly coppers feet wobble in feer) .

Not only will i get a pension, free first class travel and other privileges for doing nothing, every once in a while – say four years i will at least get a chance to win big unaccounted money to yet again do nothing ! else i will get to do nothing at some 5 star resort.

And the supreme court in its vercict on the JMM Bribery Case says MPs receiving bribe to vote in Parliament enjoyed constitutional immunity from prosecution under Article 105(2) and the applications moved by the alleged bribe-takers in the case.

Article 105 (2) of the Constitution reads ”no member of Parliament shall be liable to any proceedings in any court in respect of anything said or any vote given by him in Parliament or any committee thereof, and no person shall be so liable in respect of the publication by or under the authority of either house of Parliament of any report, paper, votes or proceedings”.

Accused bribe givers included former prime minister P V Narasimha Rao and 19 others in the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha MPs bribery case. The others included former Union ministers Buta Singh, Ajit Singh and Satish Sharma and former chief ministers Bhajan Lal of Haryana and M Veerappa Moily of Karnataka.

On the other hand, the bribe-takers, including former JMM MPs Simon Marandi, Suraj Mandal and Shibhu Soren, former Union minister Ram Lakhan Singh Yadav, former Janata Dal (A) MPs Ram Sharan Yadav, Anadi Charan Das, Roshan Lal, Abhay Pratap Singh and Haji Ghulam Mohammad Khan except Ajit Singh who did not vote on the no-confidence motion against the Rao-led government on July 28 1993, would not be liable for prosecution anymore as they would be entitled for protection under Article 105 (2). read Rediff

Don’t the names sound familiar ? Most of the prize trophy s – if u don’t include the new elite, convicted criminals and dissidents and of course the amazing Gowda are Shibhu Soren, Ajit Singh, Bhajan Lals son n Rebel Congress MP from Haryana’s Bhiwani Lok Sabha seat, Kuldeep Bishnoi and Oily Moily is still fixing things.

At this rate the Govt might have to introduce some kind of a corporate loan maafi to wipe out the debts of the corporates funding this kind of venture. Such is the need and desperation that even the customs department, which had issued notices to more than 60 aircraft owners for allegedly evading duty by importing the planes under the non-scheduled operator permit, has been advised to go slow in the matter in view of the political crisis in Delhi. DNA

In this whole mess i distinctly remember – wasn’t all this effort for securing the Nuclear deal in Vital national interest?

or is it just an eyewash to prepare the rajgaddi for the dreamy man?

Didn’t I say Indian Govt at its weakest?

Uti 64 Bond maturity – The end of an era!

UTI64 bonds mature today ie on 31st March and the investors have time of one month to surrender their bond ledgers to UTI offices in one months time.

UTI64 bond redemption is an end of an era and a significant event in the Investment Culture in India. UTI 64 signified, for many citizens as the gateway to the Investment world of Stocks and Bonds.There was a time before Dhirubahi when people praised UTI for being a rock solid investment destination that helped them in difficult times.

The end of UTI64 signifies how a perfectly good institution can rot and decay with sufficient political interference, lack of transparency and sheer lack of collective responsibility of the Trustees and Politicians.

From an Ex SEBI Chairman Mr Dave who headed UTI to another M Damodaran, who went on to head SEBI here is the tale of how a good institution fell victim to interference and price fixing finally destroying a lot of investors wealth and more importantly confidence.

Unit Trust of India was set up by an Act of Parliament in 1963, and in 1964, US 64 was started through a special legislation, to pool in small investor resources by the then PM of the Janata party govt under Mr Morarji Desai.

The contributors to the initial capital of Rs. 5 crore for US-64 Scheme were Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Other Financial Institutions, Life Insurance Corporation (LIC), State Bank of India (SBI) & its subsidiaries and other scheduled banks including a few foreign banks. In February 1976, RBI’s contribution was taken up by the Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI). The institutions were provided representation on the Board of the Trustees of UTI. Under the provisions of the Act, Chairman of the Board was appointed by Government of India. The Board of Trustees oversees the general direction and management of the affairs and business of UTI. The Board performs its functions based on commercial principles, supposedly keeping in mind the interest of the unit holders under various schemes. Since its inception, an official of the rank of joint secretary or higher at the finance ministry has represented the Government of India on UTI’s board of trustees.

The fund performed very well in the initial years till the 80s, when there was heavy intervention in the markets by the government and MCA in Corporate affairs and IPO pricing was fixed by a Controller. At the end of 1988 UTI had Rs.6,700 Crores of assets under management.

Remember the unwritten word was US64 = 64 % DEBT + 36% EQUITY.

Although analysts considered the two chairmen, G.S. Patel (1977-83) and M.J. Pherwani (1984-90) to be market-savvy (The latter even came to be known as a “bull” and was considered very good ), they had kept US-64, a balanced fund.

It was under S.A. Dave (1991-96), a career development banker and former Chairman of the regulatory body, the Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI), that US-64’s investments became tilted heavily in favour of equity (70:30). Cracks started to appear in the early 90s with Pherwani s death (suicide) post the Harshad Mehta scam, which was the first big scam to hit the stock markets. Big corporate names were involved both local and foreign, and who can forget the Suitcase that was allegedly given by Mehta to the then PM P V Narasimha Rao ?

Read The Scam by Sucheta and Debanshu for some detailed analysis.

Under the stewardship of Dave, and from my personal experience as a long term UTI investor, the organisation and the service of the UTI went literally to the dogs as many investors had to face hell as dividend warrants never reached investors, dividend warrants of A being mailed to B (my dad received some ones 30+thousand div warrant which he hand delivered). Then there was the certificate mess after the rights issues and bonus issue and service was at best pathetic. Even the officer level staff was more concerned about the inalsa toasters they got thanks to UTI investing in that company than servicing customer requests. (this from personal experience).

I still vividly remember in 1995 fresh into college after my fathers demise, being given the runaround by different sections after not receiving dividend close to a lakh of rupees for 6 mths, i marched into his office and had a major argument with the then MD at IDBI tower 29th floor, about my predicament, the state of UTI and its survival and growth due to the supposed 24% dividend. I had predicted that UTI wont survive if it stopped that dividend. The man sitting in one of the plushest offices in the most expensive real estate in Mumbai, could not digest being pulled up by a 18 yr old ‘boy’, but in his defense i received the chq in 5 days time. In hindsight, I was so right!

It was the beginning of the decline. In 1994, the UTI board — in a highly controversial decision — invested more than Rs 1,000 crore (Rs 10 billion) in Reliance Industries Limited shares through an off-market private placement. The shares were purchased at rates that were above the prevailing market prices and would be ‘locked in’ for a period of five years.The Finance minister 1991 to 1996 was none other than the current PM.

In the mid-1990s, US-64 dipped into its reserves to fund dividend payments. The US-64 scheme purchased substantial amounts of PSU shares, and naturally, for a purpose. The bailout of US-64 in 1998 was largely on account of reduced valuation of PSU stock which were bought by the UTI during the disinvestment process between 1991 and 1995. Source Rajya sabha debates.

Now US 64 was no ordinary fund it was almost the market, people preferred it as a better, more reliable alternative to the stock market. Infact, at one time, such was its power that in Shahrukh terms UTI was the biggest gunda in the Markets and UTI could make and break share prices if it so choose. For gods sake even the market hating Communists invested into its units and lost money in the downfall. People never bothered that UTI 64 WAS A TRUST FUND not a MUTUAL FUND. There was no transparency in its dealings, the NAV or fund policy was never disclosed, and everything was administered at the UTI tower in New Marine Lines, including the Sale and Repurchase price. You were always at the mercy of the Trustees in the UTI Board for vital decisions and returns. They were never directly accountable to the unit holders or anyone except to their political masters who didn’t bother until there was a big market crash or if they had to favor some industrialist.

UTI was always politically controlled, and used or might i say, abused by the establishment to hold the markets during crashes and bail it out during difficult times.

The rot really set in and from 1996-97, when the Trust announced a 1:10 bonus for US-64 unit holders and topped it with a dividend dipping into the reserves.

Corporates were allowed to invest in UTI 64, and were given tax incentives, which provided to be a lucrative option for both to them and to the fund house that treated UTI 64 like a quasi gilt fund.

The IDBI-government nominee was removed in mid-1997, three years after UTI’s investment in the Reliance group company,

When asked by the JPC about the reasons for withdrawing the IDBI-government nominee from the UTI board in 1997, the then finance secretary, Ajit Kumar, had the follow to state in the verbatim record of evidence:’. . .the overall position since 1991 in a regime which is liberalised has been that these bodies in the financial markets should move towards as much autonomy as possible. The government or the ministry should not interfere in its day-to-day working. The people who are appointed there are responsible and they should be allowed to function.’ Rediff

Interestingly, the CBI had sought the approval of the Finance Ministry, headed by PC ( the current FM ) in 1997 during the tenure of Mr Deve Gowda as Prime Minister to initiate action in the RIL case. However, the agency was not granted approval then, officials said. Hindu

Thus began the decline, to shore up UTI 64, inter fund transfers were rampant and close ended funds never performed to their potential. US 1992 never gave any return to its unit holders on maturity. If the politicians could milk it why couldn’t the trustees and the fund managers and the dealing rooms? There were rumors about substandard investment and front running as the investment decision making was supposedly archaic and done via a paper. The politicians preferred it that way as they were never directly accountable, but could whenever needed heavily influence decision making, as nothing was declared and the whole scheme was centrally administered buy the trustees. Whenever the markets crashed, calls from Delhi ensured that UTI would promptly prop it up.

Then came the the BJP government in March 1998 and nothing really changed for UTI64, though there was an attempt to change the UTI culture and a bailout package ensued as UTI adopting some recommendations of the Deepak Parekh committee set up in Nov 1998.

This step isolated the rest of the UTI funds from the then problematic US64, as the grand daddy of mfs rambled on.The government had lost a salient chance to declare the NAV of the scheme to the public and this was BJP governments biggest mistake. Rediff on the UTI Crises Here is a timeline of events:

On March 14 1999, UTI decided to link the sale and repurchase price of US-64 units to NAV in three years’ time.

In July 1999, UTI still maintained the debt-equity mix in US-64 scheme at 66:34 at the end of 1998-99, despite the Parekh Committee recommending a balanced weightage in view of the schemes yearly dividend distribution requirement.

This coincided with the Tech Boom of 1998/ 1999 and the Rise of Ketan Parekh, the low profile soft spoken Chartered Accountant. The companies in which KP held stakes or the renouned K10 included Amitabh Bachchan Corporation Limited (ABCL), Mukta Arts, Tips and Pritish Nandy Communications. He also had stakes in HFCL, Global Telesystems (Global), DSQ Soft, Zee Telefilms, Crest Communications, and PentaMedia Graphics

The rise of ICE (Information, Communications, and Entertainment) stocks all over the world in early 1999 led to a rise of the Indian stock markets as well but UTI didnt benefit from the tech boom. In june 1999 they started to sell their PSU portfolio, which was then in the doldrums and started buying tech as a supposed followup to parekh committee recomendations.Global, Himachal and DSQ Software will not fit in the universe of an institutional investor, but for Parekh’s presence. The country’s largest mutual fund, UTI’s Unit Scheme-64, had Himachal Futuristic (1.48 per cent of the portfolio), Ranbaxy (1.39 per cent), Pentafour (1.35 per cent) and Global Tele-Systems (1.05 per cent) on September 30, 1999

Read Behind the UTI mess

2 September 1999

Cyclicals and growth stocks spur US-64 scheme with 50% of the top 50 holdings of its restructured portfolio outperforming the Sensex by a wide margin.

9 September 1999

US-64 witnesses a steep erosion of 13.34% or Rs 2,085.51 crore in its unit capital as on 30 June.

10 October 2000

The monthly portfolio of US-64 reveals an exposure of over 19% to Reliance group companies as on 30 September 2000.

In December 2000, the NASDAQ crashed again and technology stocks took the hardest beating ever in the US. Led by doubts regarding the future of technology stocks, prices started falling across the globe and mutual funds and brokers began selling them. KP began to have liquidity problems and lost a lot of money during that period

More and more US64 looked like a ponzi scheme.

28 February 2000

UTI chief declares that all fresh mobilisations in US-64 to be allocated to debt instruments, following a surge in equity component to 72%.

On 30 June 2000, UTI sets up a “corporate repositioning committee”, headed by Y H Malegam, to revisit Deepak Parekh panel report and draw up a corporate plan for the fund.

19 February 2001

US-64 cuts exposure to New Economy sectors from 21.65% to 16.50% as of December 2000. Instead, it increases exposure to telecommunication from 6.24% to 7.30% and FMCG from 7.71% to 12.51%.

Some decisions taken by the UTI are very suspect, especially investments in K10 and tech scripts rather late in the tech rally. Rumor has it that this was done to bail out market hands stuck with high priced scripts. A little later when the disinvestment happened there was some value unlocking in the PSUS something missed out by UTI.By that time it looked like everyone had their hands in the Uti till ! except of corse the trusting investor. Yet again Reliance was seen to be a major beneficiary of the UTI largess.

May 2001

SBI, a trustee with insider information pulls out, selling its UTI 64 units, so does ILFS, a company headed by the then UTI Chairman, Mr. P.S. Subramanyam.

Most corporates like Reliance, IPCL, BPCL, IOC, Tata and other MNCs were among US-64 investors who sold their units at around Rs 14.25 per unit. The bulk of the redemptions during April and May of over Rs 4,100 crore were carried out by top corporates and commercial banks, fuelling suspicions of sensitive market information having been passed on to them. source PIL

The impending fall is the best kept secret/rumor in the grapevine. I have an inkling that the nav is negative and pull out of most of my US64 units.

4 July 2001

UTI suspends sale and repurchase of US-64 units resulting in panic among investors. This stuns the investors and the BSE Sensex falls 114 points on the next day. Panic among investors due to suspension of repurchase and sales on US-64 and the consequent heat from the finance ministry forces UTI chief P S Subramanyam to resign.

13 July

Government’s rescue package for the bail-out to be restricted to Rs 10,000 per investor while UTI declares it requires an infusion of Rs 3,000 crore to cover the principal amount and a dividend of 10% declared by Subramanyam. Government relaxes bank ceiling on borrowings against securities for UTI.

14 July

The long search for a head at ends with M Damodaran, joint secretary in banking division of the finance ministry, being declared as the new UTI chief.

15 July

Finance ministry rolls out a Rs 300-crore rescue package which offers unitholders the opportunity to liquidate their holdings and achieve capital appreciation through a step-up repurchase till May 2003. Investors can offer up to 3,000 units for repurchase between August 2001 and May 2003. The repurchase price in August fixed at Rs 10 per unit to be increased by 10 paise every month.

Read Another raw deal for UTI investors

20 July

The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) raids the residences of former UTI chairman P S Subramanyam and other senior officials in connection with a case of conspiracy relating to private placement of shares of Cyberspace Infosys. Other senior officials whose houses have been raided are executive directors M M Kapur and S K Basu and general manager Prima Madhuprasad. Late in the evening, CBI interrogates Subramanyam in connection with the fiasco.

21 July

The CBI economic offences wing arrests Subramanyam, Kapur, Basu and stock broker Rakesh Mehta for the misappropriation of UTI funds. All UTI officials remanded to police custody till 27 July.

2 August

Being charged with misappropriation of UTI funds of Rs 32 crore, Arvind Johari of Cyberspace further remanded to police custody till 7 August. Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha claims that ex-UTI chief P S Subramanyam kept the finance ministry in the dark over the US-64 issue. Rejecting the opposition’s demand for a Joint Parliamentary Committee on UTI, Sinha says that his resignation wil not solve the issue and assures the Rajya Sabha that CBI will probe all aspects in the UTI muddle.

7 August

UTI officials P S Subramanyam, S K Basu, M M Kapur and stock broker Rakesh Mehta are granted bail by Special Judge S R Mehra. Cyberspace Infosys’ director Arvind Johari refused bail and remanded to judicial custody till 14 August. The judge said in his order that the state has unearthed all incriminating documents against the accused.

11 August

Tamil Nadu chief minister J Jayalalithaa denies any nexus with ex-UTI chief P S Subramanyam.

24 December

The Tarapore Committee further reports that UTI had made fresh investments of Rs 1.66 billion in companies where existing investments were classified as non-performing assets. In eight of these cases, UTI had taken fresh exposure in companies which had already defaulted on payment. Meanwhile, the Centre decides to lend fiscal support to UTI, besides subscribing to liquidity bonds and asking banks to further extend the Rs 30-billion line of credit to the Trust.

31 December

UTI declares the first NAV of US-64 at Rs 5.81, which is 44% lower than its repurchase price of Rs 10.5 for January 2001.

December 2002

The Parliament grants its approval for bifurcation of UTI into UTI-I and UTI-II. The Rajya Sabha approves the UTI Bill 2002, already passed by the Lok Sabha, by a voice vote

2 January

The NAV of US-64 drops down to Rs 6. As a part of its cost-cutting exercise, UTI decides to delist all schemes from stock exchanges by the end of January this year. Sale and repurchase for the schemes made available through the repurchase window.

11 March 2003

US-64 investors to get option of tax-free 6.75% bonds from May

The government will offer to buy back the units of Unit Trust of India’s flagship scheme US-64 in cash or give the investors an option to convert them into 5-year tax-free bonds bearing an interest rate of 6.75% from May this year.

UTI 64s demise was a major event, one that also helped shatter the BJP campaign Shining India campaign

May 25 2008

This is an end of an era. UTI bonds finally mature, giving bitter memories to many of its trusting investors. Will the politicians of the Congress, now in power, and have now made a windfall gain both in terms of votes and on the asset sale of the SUS reward the investors making it a little more just for them by giving them a tax free bonus?

The package that saved the financial markets of this country along with its politicians, did little to help UTI’s Small Investors, some of who stupidly invested their life savings into the fund. They faced so much mental, physical trauma visiting the UTI offices and standing in big queues, withdrawing the 3000 units they were allowed to, at rates far below the administered repurchase price they had seen a few months ago, due essentially to a mess created by the politicians of this country.When the rescue package came out, the opposition, now in power played sufficient politics wasting a lot of time and money in Parliamentary sessions,

After all the circus and the shouting, and all the wastage of money on the endless debates in the Parliament, the JPC, came to a naught, the PIL had already been withdrawn.

No action was really taken against all the responsible trustees including Subramanyam the then Chairman and others in the group. Once again and you don’t need to guess the reason why the whole investigation bore no fruit and nobody was punished. Go see Jane bhi do yaroon instead..

Read ‘Govt must accept liability to help UTI survive’

That was the time when i really I start hating Yashwant Sinha, the FM and the Opposition and the entire Political Class of this nation, because of the way investors were treated. The government had announced capital gains tax exemption for US-64 investors, with the sole intention of killing capital loss suffered by investors due to the UTI 64 debacle so they stood no chance of adjusting it against future capital gains.

UTI 64 taught me one thing. In this country which is governed by so many unenforceable weak laws, for the aam admi , there are a few golden rules, CAVEAT EMPTOR or May the buyer be aware, don’t be greedy and don’t ever trust either the politicians or the regulators.

The Future of UTI as UTI MF.

UTI MF is the new avatar of UTI and little has changed in the work culture of the company. The only thing i saw was the change of Mumbai HO from WTC 29 floor to their new mini castle at Bandra-Kurla complex. The performance of some schemes has shown a marked improvement and so is its sales pitch, but trust me, Nothing has really changed – it is better to stay away from this fund house, because the service is still horrendous!

They have recently changed from UTIISL to KARVY as the registrar for investor services. Most people have no clue as many dividend warrants and redemption proceeds have been stuck up in the mess.

Such is their service that a dividend warrant of a decent sum was returned undelivered for 2 yrs consecutively without me having been proper intimated. Even after sending 7 letters and a large amt of emails, meeting the Chairman’s PA twice and almost 8 months of delay no action was taken. A SEBI complaint and a threat to go to the press and Pehredar ensured that i get those said warrants after due delay of almost a year. Id recommend u to sticks to good fund houses like the HDFC MF , which has a good service track record.

Somehow The price fixing of the UTI 64 reminds me of the current fixing of OIL prices and hope the nation doesn’t have to pay a steep price in the future as the UTI investors did.

ps i need a time out from blogging , so i hope i don’t post for some time.

On Indian Govt policy and the Aam Admi

My last post was on the quota conondrum. Looks like all that i predicted is happening, the govt will meet with its UPA allies, and try and find a loophole around the creamy layer restriction laid down by the Supreme court.

This system keeps all the people in chain of command happy, the party s that have got their caste/ community people in the list giving them something to tom tom about in the next elections, but overall this is short term divisive and promotes hatred among people.

Make sure that there is a perennial shortage of good seats and colleges. Instead of improving basic education make populist announcements. Plus getting permission for pvt colleges on land purchased from the govt at a pittance is easy, lucrative and also profitable to politicians many of who control colleges and universities for specialized education like medicine and engineering. You see, the AICTE is always there to ban pvt colleges in India and make sure that seat nos remain the same.

Atanu Dey the economist extraordinaire has a very convincing logical explaination on the economics of it all in his post Reservations in the Indian educational system Part 1 and Part 2.

Nita has a very interesting take on basic education. read Unequal education, Root cause of child labor isn’t poverty

The whole attitude of this govt reminds me of the prohibition / socialist era. Don’t solve the problems just find quick fixes and make populist announcements, never mind the repercussions. Make / use draconian laws to control, and have central control on all decisions, however mundane they might be. I was reading a post on rediff namely :

No magic wand to curb prices: Govt.

Even though the article rattled out stuff like a govt mouthpiece, what interested me were the comments and more so this one:

INDIA Shining
on Apr 11, 2008 05:45 PM

Last General election BJP comeup with india shining slogan am not supporting bjp but still at that time it was far far better than current status,that time these UPA come with Aam Aadmi,after 3yrs no AAM(mango)no Admi also.
but still indian fools will vote for Cong people cant realise coz they dont have sense…just for one 14″tv or Rs2/-rice they vote after6 months not rice no tv again will beg…people should be litterate and should know to judge the right people and should know to elect till that time everybody will be in this trouble…better atleast this educated generation try to keep the population under control atleast some people will be there…now we cant do anything we have to pray for good…coz kapil told they cant do anything without magic stick which he dont have and entire UPA dont have so we will pray god for good result…

..what the UPA is trying to project is not that there has been development…….they will thrive on how they got the reservations done….this is the prime motive of the UPA…….and on top of that if there are ching-chong communists dictating national policies n decisions, there can be no good….!!

govt. doesnt want people to get themselves educated. they only want to make you poorer and keep feeding at the cost of tax payers money and get votes in return.

WPI Inflation in India at 7% and climbing?

The WPI inflation is now at 7% and climbing, putting the Govt the fm and the RBI in a tight spot. I had expected this to happen as i wasn’t quite sure of the FMs management skills and mentioned it in my budget post – Budget what matters most.

It is hurting the middle classes as everything is getting expensive, be it vegi oil or rice wheat, pulses, milk or other essentials. Summers mean more Electricity bills in a power deficit nation of ours. I worry about the millions that have 3/4 children to feed living on 2$ a day not getting what they were promised by the UPA during the last general elections, in terms of subsidised food promised in BPL cards on account of shortages due to mismanagement and huge divergence from open market prices leading to black marketing.

And it shows, cause it is now affecting budgets of the upper middle class too, many of who have also been burned by the market fall, and purchased their second house at atrocious prices on floating rate loans. The press has woken up quite late as normal and is doing the round of shopping malls and markets, counting each rupee spent in a days shopping, instead of the regular cricket updates, Bacchan updates, scandals gossip and interviews with successful entrepreneurs in 5 star hotels… rediff has a wierd articles like this one.

Looks like real returns on deposits after effects of inflation based on real prices or CPI , compliance costs and taxes should now be negative, for the aam admi.

Pushing Subsidy burden on PSU Oil cos and Banks in terms of expecting them to cushion the Governments populous decisions is old news.

Looks like we are knocking on the Diktat / Control raj doors, as the Govt is in a hurry to cut inflation by attacking the prices of the WPI basket constituents like steel , cement etc by some closed door coercion to Pvt Companies, and some threat of stern action and invoking provisions of draconian price fixing laws of the prohibition era, while the rail ministry on the other end increases freight rate, increasing their costs.

The RBI is attempting to suck out liquidity through mkt operations and an expected CRR hike, but will it be enough? Worse we are importing US inflation by holding the Rupee to the dollar at close to Rs40. Read Ilas post on dollar purchase by RBI and watch Ajay Shah for his excellent analysis on Worldwide Inflation of commodities.

Things are going to be interesting, and markets fragile. I think sooner than later the Property markets will also start to correct by a fair bit.

Related Reading: Democracy of Shortages
How the credit crisis affects inflation, Slower growth plus higher interest rates,
T N Ninan: Rich man(Politician)poor state, FDI in Feb hits record high,

Are Indian Property Markets in a bubble? Black money saves financial sector